Sports bets can be quite profitable if you know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. My partner and i analyzed often the Western California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West California had the edge in the video game. However , I also noticed that there was a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This sport features all the signs of being one involving the very best games involving the year, with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming rear from getting down large in the 4th 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In the event this activity were being played in a good basic field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 PATH games.

https://www.ufabet168.bet/%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%84%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%a3%e0%b9%88%e0%b8%b2/ of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, this additional benefit is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like much, but in a near match-up this way, that spare point might make the difference between a good push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for each game at your home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. seven points each game at home. In case you don’t do the figures, that means given that their particular last home loss they already have averaged beating their opponents by simply about 34 things per game.

What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by 13 details per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats were being established during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have experienced recent games in which they already have only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still a close sport to call. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this particular game and certainly not gamble at all. There are usually better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage was not so big which they could still win after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific video game, people critical with regards to wagering saved money they can offer better make use of on approaching games.