UFABET168 gambling can be very profitable if you know the strategies this “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best instance. I actually analyzed often the Western world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Va had often the edge in the activity. Nonetheless I also noticed that there have been a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This video game provides all the signs of being one involving the very best games connected with the year, with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming backside from being down large in the final quarter to winning in overtime.

So what’s the game search like this year?

In the event that this video game were being played from a good natural field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, typically the added bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close match-up like this, that extra point will make the distinction between a good push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since January 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points for each game on home. In case you failed to do the figures, that means considering their very own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their own adversaries by means of about 34 things per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this range, on average, simply by 13 factors per game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats were being accumulated during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They also have had recent games through which they have already only scored 35, 23, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. Many people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still some sort of close match to call up. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this game and not guess at all. There usually are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return the punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border weren’t so big they will may possibly still win right after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this match, people serious concerning gambling saved money they can put to better work with on coming games.