Sports wagering can be very profitable if you know the secrets the particular “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that wise money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. I analyzed the particular Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West California had the particular edge in the video game. Yet , My partner and i also recognized that there was a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This video game possesses all the symptoms of being one connected with the most effective games connected with the year, together with both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. 메이저놀이터 ‘s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming rear from staying down major in the independence day quarter to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

If this match were appearing played on a natural field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost given that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 PATH games.

These are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the additional bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This could not look like quite a bit, but in a close match-up like this, that excess point might make the difference between some sort of push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since 12 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for each game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. six points each game at home. In case anyone failed to do the mathmatical, that means considering their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their particular opposing team simply by about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by simply 13 details per video game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They are yet to had recent games where they’ve only scored 28, 3, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still a new close video game to phone. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this kind of game and not really wager at all. There happen to be better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a new TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage was not so big they can still win right after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this match, people severe regarding gambling saved money that they can put to better work with on approaching games.