Sports wagering is often very profitable if a person know the strategies the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that clever money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. I actually analyzed typically the Western California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West California had the particular edge in the match. Yet , We also noticed that there initially were a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport offers all the signals of being one involving the ideal games regarding the year, with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming back from staying down major in the 4th 1 fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the game search like this year?

If this activity were turning into played in some sort of natural field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular additional bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not look like very much, but in a close match-up such as this, that spare point will make the variation between the push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home activities.

In 토토사이트 추천 to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since Dec 20, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 7 points for each game in home. In case a person failed to do the mathematics, that means given that their particular last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular opposing team by simply about 34 items per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by means of 13 points per game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s just how…

The majority of those stats were developed during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They’ve acquired recent games by which they already have only scored 35, 12, 24 points. That games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a close sport to call up. Yet what I look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this kind of game and not gamble at all. There are usually better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s border had not been so big that they may still win after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that sport, people severe with regards to wagering saved money they can offer better use on forthcoming games.