Sports wagering is often very profitable if an individual know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a excellent example. We analyzed typically the Western side Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Virginia had often the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , We also came to the realization that there are a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This sport provides all the indications of being one regarding the best games involving the year, having each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the final 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

If this video game were being played in a basic field, West California would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, often the added in benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that spare point will make the difference between a push in addition to a loss.

But คลิกที่นี่ may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since 12 , 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game at your home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. seven points every game on home. In case you failed to do the figures, that means due to the fact their particular last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their adversaries by simply about thirty four points per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by way of 13 things per game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s the way…

Almost all of those stats were being accumulated during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already got recent games in which they also have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Kansas Street. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still some sort of close sport to call up. Nonetheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this particular game and definitely not wager at all. There will be better game titles this weekend break with more simple positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders was not so big that they can may still win after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of sport, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money these people can offer better use on approaching games.