Sports betting can be extremely profitable if anyone know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West California had often the edge in the match. Nonetheless My spouse and i also understood that there are a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This video game has all the signs of being one regarding the greatest games involving the year, together with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back from staying down big in the 4th fraction to winning in overtime.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

If this match were as played in a new basic field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROAD games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the additional bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point might make the change between a good push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In UFABETเว็บตรง , Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since January 16, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for each game in the home, while hitting only letting go of 15. seven points for each game from home. In case anyone didn’t do the figures, that means given that their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their adversaries by about thirty four factors per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by means of 13 things per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats have been accumulated during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games through which they already have only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still a good close video game to contact. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off that game and not guess at all. There are usually better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big which they may still win after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific game, people severe regarding sports betting saved money many people can offer better apply on forthcoming games.