Sports gambling can be very profitable if anyone know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. My spouse and i analyzed this Western world California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Las vegas had the particular edge in the game. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there are a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This online game provides all the symptoms of being one associated with the very best games of the year, with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming backside from staying down large in the final fraction to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?

In the event this sport were as played from a natural field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make พนันบอล …

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, the particular additional reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up this way, that excess point will make the variation between some sort of push and even a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since January 17, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for every game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. seven points for every game with home. In case anyone don’t do the math, that means given that their own last home decline they’ve averaged beating their opposing team by about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, simply by 13 points per sport at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats have been developed during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They are yet to acquired recent games that has they already have only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. That they had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a close game to phone. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off this game and certainly not guarantee at all. There are better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big that they may still win following making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of match, people really serious about sports betting saved money many people can offer better apply on upcoming games.