Sports playing are often very profitable if a person know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that sensible money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. My partner and i analyzed the Rest of the world Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Va had this edge in the sport. Nonetheless My partner and i also realized that there was a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on that game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West California versus Louisville

This video game offers all the symptoms of being one associated with the very best games connected with the year, using both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming back again from becoming down huge in the final quarter to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport look like this year?

If this sport were as played in some sort of neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Through บาคาร่า -5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, the added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up like this, that more point can make the variation between some sort of push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in the home since December 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for each game at home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points per game at home. In case a person failed to do the math, that means considering that their own last home reduction they also have averaged beating their particular opponents by about thirty four points per game.

In addition amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by 13 things per game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up piled up during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They already have acquired recent games that has they’ve only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

In essence that this is still a close activity to phone. But what I look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this specific game and definitely not bet at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more simple advantages.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a good punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border weren’t so big that they can may possibly still win right after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific activity, people severe concerning wagering saved money they will can offer better employ on coming games.