Sports wagering is often very profitable if you know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. My spouse and i analyzed the West California vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Va had often the edge in the game. Yet , I also came to the realization that there are a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport features all the symptoms of being one of the ideal games involving the year, together with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming rear from appearing down massive in the final one fourth to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

When this video game were turning into played with some sort of fairly neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, this added benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up such as this, that spare point will certainly make the change between a push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in your own home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 7 points each game at home. In case an individual decided not to do the mathmatical, that means given that his or her last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their particular adversaries by means of about thirty four factors per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by 13 items per game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats ended up piled up during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already acquired recent games that has they are yet to only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a close game to phone. Yet what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this specific game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are better activities this weekend with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. แทงบอล was of which West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big which they can still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular game, people serious regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better make use of on forthcoming games.